A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Tue 18 Mar 2008

They could always play on the green...
The bad juju of Gretna continues, now their rented pitch at Motherwell is all chewed up and unusable until April, and the side will play their next two games at Livingston. There is a slightly serious point here: not only are Gretna at risk of defaulting on their campaign, but Motherwell will also have to play their games at neutral venues. There's also a significant danger that the league side won't be finished by the Cup Final at the end of May. Rangers, for instance, have three games to fit in before the league splits, and precisely one free mid-week to play them in. If only the SFA had allowed Rangers and Hibs to play their replay against the national side in February.

Upsets

45 Fulham - Everton 1:0
44 Cottbus - Bayern München 2:0
38 West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City 1:4
35 Dep. la Coruna - Real Madrid 1:0
35 Cagliari - Torino 3:0
34 Manchester City - Tottenham Hotspur 2:1
33 Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle 1:2
31 West Ham United - Blackburn Rovers 2:1
31 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 0:1
31 Reggina - Siena 4:0
18 Arsenal - Middlesbrough 1:1
17 Rangers - Dundee Utd 1:1

A bad week for three English sides: not only do Everton, Bolton, and Tottenham all crash out of the UEFA Cup, but they also lose their domestic matches in upsets. Bayern's loss throws a lifebelt to their Bundesliga rivals, but Werder completely failed to take up their chanceWestbrom's defeat gives hope to the rest of Division II, but Real Madrid are miles clear of all their rivals. Rangers did manage to win the League Cup, beating Dundee Utd. on kicks from the penalty mark.

First XXII

01 -- INT   1255   83.3
02 -- MUN   1230   83.0
03 -- CHE   1228   81.4
04 +3 ROM   1220   77.6
05 -1 BAR   1206   77.2
06 +4 SEV   1160   76.2
07 re LIV   1159   77.7
08 -2 ANL   1158   78.5
09 +4 VIL   1152   77.0
10 -2 OLY   1131   99.4
11 -6 RMD   1127   77.9
12 +9 LYN   1125   79.2
13 ne GET   1122   71.6
14 -2 PTO   1120  104.4
15 +7 HAM   1108   79.5
16 +1 JVE   1103   84.5
17 ne POR   1100   81.0
18 -9 BAY   1098   83.9
19 re BYL   1089   79.9
20 ne AJX   1088  112.2
21 -10FEN   1087  103.4
22 ne EVE   1086   75.2

Movements are from 6 February. Liverpool's had a good month overall; losing to Barnsley, but beating Inter Milan home and away. Lyon has a draw against the Bucs, and a win against top domestic rivals Bordeaux. Out of the top 22 go Atlético (14-30), Espanyol (15-28), AC Milan (16-26), Schalke 04 (18-29), PSV (19-27), and Bordeaux (20-23).

Monte Carlo Model

01 +5 Roma
02 -1 Internazionale
03 -1 CSKA Kensington
04 +1 Manchester Buccaneers
05 -1 Barcelona
06 +4 Porto
07 -- Real Madrid
08 +5 Sevilla
09 -6 Arsenal
10 re Liverpool Stadiennes
11 -- Olympiakos
12 -3 Fenebaçhe
13 +7 Lyon
14 ne Sporting Lisbon
15 +3 Villarreal
16 +1 Ajax
17 ne Getafe
18 -2 Juventus
19 ne Bayer Leverkusen
20 re Hamburg
21 -13Bayern München
22 -10Panathanaikos

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