A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Tue 11 Mar 2008

Set up

The FA Cup is down to four sides. Contrary to early-season projections, they're not Arsenal, Liverpool Stadiennes, CSKA Kensington, and the Manchester Buccaneers. Instead, the four sides are Portsmouth (I), Barnsley (II), Westbromwich (II), and Cardiff (II). It's the first time none of the current top four has been in the semi-finals since 1987, when the line-up was Coventry, Leeds, Tottenham, Watford. We also note there have been just six replays in the last 61 ties of the competition, a record low.

The first two of these sides have never appeared in a full UEFA competition (with the possible exception of the Anglo-Italian or the British Cups). Under the rules negotiated between England's FA and the FAW, Welsh sides can only enter Europe through FAW contests, thus ensuring that Cardiff can't qualify through the FA Cup. (Or, thanks to UEFA's rejection of Welsh sides competing in the English league, any contest). Only Westbromwich has a full European pedigree.

In 1966, Westbrom was seeded to the second round of the Fairs Cup (subsequently the UEFA), easily beat DOS Utrecht, but was soundly beaten by Bologna. In 1968, the side made the Cup-Winners' Cup, beat Brugge on away goals and Dinamo Bucharest handily, but lost the quarter-final by the only goal to Dunfermline. The next appearance was in the 1978 UEFA Cup: Galatasaray, Braga, and Valencia proved little opposition, but Red Star Belgrade proved just too difficult in the last eight. It was all downhill from there: 1979's contest say a heavy defeat by Carl Zeiss Jena of the GDR, and 1981 a loss in both legs to Grasshoppers Zürich.

The most remarkable fact about Westbromwich's appearances in Europe is that in eleven contests, the side has always been drawn to play away in the first leg, at an improbability factor of 211.

The draw for the semi-finals pits Barnsley against Cardiff, and Westbromwich against Portsmouth. The FA has not confirmed venues for these ties; given the fixture list for 5 April, and the fact that Aston Villa is playing at home, we assume they will take place at the Coventry Arena and either White Hart Lane or Stamford Bridge.

The other results

League matches in England saw Arsenal draw 0:0 at Wigan; the result allows the Buccaneers a chance to take top spot if they can beat Bolton. A major surprise in Spain, as Barcelona fall 2:1 to Villarreal; Real Madrid had their expected win, but Atlético lost to Bilbao. France's match of the week ended in a 4:2 win for Lyon over Bordeaux, the defending champions are now six points clear of their only realistic rivals. Germany's match of the day turned out to be Stuttgart -v- Werder Bremen, which ended in a tennis score, Stuttgart winning 6:3. Finally, the Dutch match of the week-end had a most tiresome result, the police struck in Amsterdam forcing the postponement of the Ajax - PSV tie. The same thing happened during the reverse fixture last year, and Ajax are asking the police to pay the cost of re-arranging the tie.

On-the-pitch upsets

53 Barnsley - CSKA Kensington 1:0
41 Manchester Buccaneers - Portsmouth 0:1
40 Guimares - Sporting Lisbon 2:0
38 Siena - Fiorentina 1:0
37 Middlesbrough - Cardiff 0:2
35 Barcelona - Villarreal 1:2
34 Real Zaragosa - Atlético Madrid 2:1
33 VfB Stuttgart - Werden Bremen SV 6:3
33 Rennes - Paris Saint Germain 2:0
33 Charlton Athletic - Preston North End 1:2
31 Sheffield Wednesday - Queen's Park Rangers 2:1
31 Coventry City - Norwich City 1:0

19 Wigan Athletic - Arsenal 0:0
15 Nurnberg - Hamburger SV 0:0

The Rest of Europe

Austria GRA 800 152.5 0 0.00 AWI 752 121.7 0 0.00 RAP 743 131.5 0 0.00 Belgium LIE 920 124.9 39 0.31 AND 872 103.7 12 0.12 BRU 836 132.8 -44 -0.33 WRG 780 117.1 53 0.45 BEV* 513 190.0 0 0.00 Bulgaria CSS 943 138.4 -27 -0.20 LSF 839 130.7 0 0.00 LIT 758 144.8 30 0.21 Switzerland BAS 1006 107.7 -62 -0.58 ZUR 873 113.9 102 0.90 GRZ 814 122.5 -15 -0.12 THU 643 120.3 -97 -0.81 Czechia SLP 963 110.8 -15 -0.14 LIB 902 137.9 42 0.30 PRG 870 114.9 28 0.24 BLV 844 121.4 0 0.00 TEP 730 130.4 -79 -0.61 Denmark COP 929 115.0 0 0.00 ODE 874 134.9 0 0.00 AAL 859 146.5 0 0.00 BRO 854 148.1 0 0.00 Greece OLY 1131 97.9 -24 -0.25 PAN 1048 99.0 -17 -0.17 AEK 889 99.2 -79 -0.80 PAO 869 112.1 59 0.53 LAR 831 118.7 98 0.83 ASS 823 108.5 -32 -0.29 PIO 805 102.2 9 0.09 AIG* 535 178.4 0 0.00 Croatia DZA 769 154.3 0 0.00 Israel HTA 913 123.4 95 0.77 MPT 870 146.9 -71 -0.48 MHA 856 137.0 -53 -0.39 Netherlands PSV 1100 94.2 46 0.49 AJX 1088 110.8 -15 -0.14 HEE 961 116.8 14 0.12 FEY 926 116.8 -27 -0.23 AZA 903 105.5 -12 -0.11 UTR 839 126.6 76 0.60 Norway ROS 909 120.7 -57 -0.47 TRO 859 160.6 0 0.00 BRN 812 133.2 -44 -0.33 VIK 744 159.0 0 0.00 VRG 679 153.3 0 0.00 Poland WIS 832 200.0 0 0.00 Portugal PTO 1120 102.9 -6 -0.06 SLS 1048 97.7 -6 -0.06 BEN 1004 95.3 -16 -0.17 GUI 918 133.4 89 0.67 BRG 905 105.0 -39 -0.37 Romania RBU 1030 152.5 0 0.00 STE 873 132.6 0 0.00 DIB 866 143.7 0 0.00 Serbia CRV 800 128.8 36 0.28 PBG 656 154.6 -54 -0.35 Russia SPM 977 110.9 17 0.15 ZSP 960 105.5 44 0.42 LOK 935 119.6 -44 -0.37 CSK 909 124.6 0 0.00 Sweden HEL 892 134.2 -58 -0.43 ELF 762 159.9 0 0.00 HAL 647 187.5 0 0.00 Slovakia ART 682 180.1 0 0.00 Turkey FEN 1087 102.0 -61 -0.60 BES 1032 110.6 41 0.37 GAL 926 105.9 42 0.40 GEN 697 138.4 -16 -0.12 Ukraine KYV 950 120.5 38 0.32 SHA 926 120.3 0 0.00 DNI 873 140.7 -54 -0.38

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