A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Wed 06 Feb 2008

Is it Carquefou? Or Carquebas?

Derby County has been taken over by General Sportsanentertainment, a retired military person from Washtanaw country. We visited the General's website in a hope of learning more about him, but the page returned completely blank. The Durby Blankwebsites, as they'll now be known, are the fourth Division I side in North American ownership, following the Manchester Buccaneers, Birmingham Browns, and Liverpool Stadiennes. Or, as they almost got re-named last week, the Liverpool Havant a Waterclooville.

Real fans of the Stadiennes have launched a multi-million pound attempt to buy out their club's owners. According to Share Liverpool, if 100,000 fans purchase shares at £5000 each, they'll have enough money to oust Hicks and Gillett, and build a new stadium with the small change. If they can't afford Liverpool, they might as well buy the last side to have led them.

In the CFL, the Off-White Cup has been won by New Jersey/A, who beat the New Southamptonshire Terrorists by two goals and a penalty to two goals. The NCAA-ball desk has been searching for people who see this sort of result as the greatest argument for a poll to decide the real national championship. The line of thought: it's ludicrous to say that six-loss Jersey/A is better than the one-loss Terrorists, or even the four-loss Cowpersons and Cheeseheads. The Sagarin computation shows that the Terrorists are miles ahead of all other teams, so what's this nonsense about Jersey/A being the winners? We can be certain that the people who insist that one-off results trump season-long quality will deem Jersey/A the champions. And then, in the same breath, argue against a play-off for NCAA-ball. Bonkers.

The Upset-o-meter

46 Siena - Roma 3:0
45 Scunthorpe United - Charlton Athletic 1:0
43 Fulham - Aston Villa 2:1
39 Werden Bremen - Bochum 1:2
39 Almeria  - Real Madrid 2:0
38 Wigan Athletic - West Ham United 1:0
37 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 2:1
37 AEK Athens - Panonios 2:3
36 Preston North End - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
35 Udinese - Catania 1-2
35 Racing Strasbourg - Metz FC 0:3
35 Napoli - Udinese 3:1
35 Leicester City - Crystal Palace 2:0
34 West Ham United - Liverpool 1:0
34 Queen's Park Rangers - Bristol City 3:0
34 Lazio - Fiorentina 2-1
33 Southampton - Norwich City 0:1
32 Brighton & Hove Albion - Crewe Alexandra 3:0
31 Southend United - Leeds United 1:0
31 Sedan - Troyes 0:1
31 Blackpool - Leicester City 2:1
30 Norwich City - Preston North End 1:0
30 Coventry City - Barnsley 4:0

19 HIBERNIANS - Rangers 0:0
19 DERBY COUNTY - Manchester City 1:1
18 Juventus - CAGLIARI 1:1
16 PORTSMOUTH - Chelsea 1:1
16 Fenerbahce - GALATASARAY 0:0
15 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - Manchester United 1:1
15 Levante  - SANTANDER 1:1

Siena knocks off Roma, Scunthorpe wins for the first time since decimalisation, and Fulham for the first time since Mr. Fayed was a small Egyptian grocer. Oh. Werder had the chance to go top if they'd beaten Bochum, but it wasn't to happen; Schalke overpowered Stuttgart to go fourth. Real Madrid lose, Wigan win.

Cup matches in Germany (Round 4, where Werder lost to Dortmund) and France (Round 5) don't properly fit within the model, but we can come up with some sort of approximate figures. Actually, take these with a liberal pinch of salt, it's more to laugh at top flight clubs who lost to little guys.

38* TSV 1999 Hoffenheim (II) - Hansa Rostock 2:1
44* Carl Zeiss Jena (III) - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1
 ** Carl Zeiss Jena won 1:0 in extra time.

40*	Sochaux FC - Montpellier Herault SC (II)	1:1
 ** Sochaux won 1:0 in extra time.
43*	Bastia Sporting Club (II) - Auxerre 	3:0
47*	Angers SCO (II) - Nice OGC	3:1
55*	Carquefou (V) - Nancy-Lorraine 0:0
 ** Carquefou won 1:0 in extra time.

We understand that Carquefou is already in talks about twinning itself with Havant. Or was it Waterlooville? Anyway, the third-placed side in France losing to a part-time club playing in the 5th division is something the fans are going to remember forever.

The First XXII

01 -- INT   1306   85.6
02 +1 MUN   1258   83.0
03 +2 CHE   1255   80.8
04 -- BAR   1246   77.8
05 -3 RMD   1200   80.6
06 -- ANL   1195   78.6
07 +3 ROM   1156   81.3
08 +10OLY   1155  102.3
09 +7 BAY   1141   95.9
10 +3 SEV   1135   77.4
11 +1 FEN   1129  107.3
12 -1 PTO   1126  105.4
13 -5 VIL   1120   78.0
14 -5 AMD   1112   76.4
15 -8 ESP   1108   81.1
16 re ACM   1105   79.3
17 -- JVE   1102   90.0
18 +3 SNV   1102   87.0
19 re PSV   1101  100.1
20 ne BDX   1099   81.4
21 -6 LYN   1096   80.1
22 -2 HAM   1093   91.6

Movements are against 1 January. Minimum RD remains 110; out go Valencia (22-27), Werder Bremen (19-32), and Liverpool (14-25).

Top Five Averages will return at the March international break, as domestic competitions are as near zero-sum as to make no odds.

Monte Carlo Model

01 -- Inter Milan
02 +4 CSKA Kensington
03 +2 Arsenal
04 -- Barcelona
05 +2 Manchester Buccaneers
06 +8 Roma
07 -5 Real Madrid
08 +8 Bayern München
09 +1 Fenebaçhe
10 -2 Porto
11 +1 Olympiakos
12 +10Panathanaikos
13 +7 Sevilla
14 re PSV Eindhoven
15 +6 Schalke 04
16 +1 Juventus
17 ne Ajax
18 -9 Villarreal
19 ne Bordeaux
20 -9 Lyon
21 re AC Milan
22 -9 Atlético Madrid

Out go Espanyol (7), Liverpool Stadiennes (15), Werder Bremen (18), Hamburg (19).

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