A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Tue 01 Jan 2008

First XXII at the end of 2007

Upsets over the festive period:

44	West Ham United - Manchester Buccaneers	2:1
43	Dundee United - Gretna 1:2
40	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	0:1
36	Wigan Athletic - Newcastle United	1:0
36	Watford - Queen's Park Rangers	2:4
34	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	3:1
33	Southampton - Preston North End	0:1
33	Motherwell - Falkirk 0:3
33	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	2:0
33	Kilmarnock - Hibernians 2:1
33	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	2:1
32	Hearts - St Mirren 0:1
31	Millwall - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
31	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	3:0
30	Cardiff City - Sheffield United	1:0

21	LARISA - Olympiakos 0:0
20	GRETNA - Aberdeen 1:1
16	Newcastle United - DERBY COUNTY	2:2

As of the end of 2007, the First XXII in Europe by ranking was as follows:

TM Mv
01 +2 INT	1301	84.3
02 +3 RMD	1241	80.6
03 -2 MUN	1225	83.8
04 +2 BAR	1222	81.9
05 +2 CHE	1221	81.3
06 -4 ANL	1207	79.4
07 +5 ESP	1169	83.8
08 -4 VIL	1164	83.5
09 +7 AMD	1154	81.1
10 -2 ROM	1152	81.6
11 +7 PTO	1152	105.1
12 +3 FEN	1148	103.0
13 -- SEV	1137	77.5
14 -- LIV	1137	78.5
15 -4 LYN	1135	79.7
16 -7 BAY	1130	87.4
17 -- JVE	1126	95.1
18 ne OLY	1125	105.2
19 +2 WER	1118	79.4
20 -- HAM	1099	83.3
21 re SNV	1094	79.2
22 re VAL	1080	78.9

Movements are against 16 November. Minimum RD is 110. Out go Santander (22-28), Blackburn (19-30), and Fiorentina (10-23).

Top Five Averages

Spain   1190 (+ 5)
England 1173 (-15)
Italy   1144 (- 6)
Germany 1099 (+13)
France  1063 (+ 7)
Greece   966
Scotland 871

We'll look at this statistic again in March, as domestic competitions tend to be zero-sum.

Monte Carlo Model

01 +4 Inter Milan
02 +2 Real Madrid
03 +4 Manchester Buccaneers
04 -2 Barcelona
05 -4 Arsenal
06 -- CSKA Kensington
07 +2 Espanyol
08 +9 Porto
09 -6 Villarreal
10 -- Fenebaçhe
11 +11 Lyon
12 +3 Olympiakos
13 -2 Atlético Madrid
14 -2 Roma
15 +4 Liverpool Stadiennes
16 -3 Bayern München
17 -9 Juventus
18 NE Werder Bremen
19 +3 Hamburg
20 -4 Sevilla
21 NE Schalke 04
22 NE Panathanaikos

Out go Fiorentina (14), Blackburn (18), Santander (20).

European |

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