A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Sun 02 Dec 2007

Coming down the mountain

Classified football results

Miscellaneous Division I
30- #33 Rutgers 38  vs. Louisville 41
 Fresno St. 30  vs. #111 New Mexico St. 23
 Miami 10  vs. Cent. Michigan 35
 Army 3 vs. Navy 38
 #18 BYU 48 vs. San Diego St. 27
44- #23 California 13 vs. Stanford 20
33- #117 North Texas 19 vs. #119 Fla. International 38
 Louisiana Tech 10 vs. Nevada 49

Division II Playoffs
X- E. Washington 35 vs. Appalachian St. 38
X- Albany, N.Y. 21 vs. Dayton 42
X- Delaware 39 vs. N. Iowa 27
X- Massachusetts 27 vs. S. Illinois 34
X- Richmond 21 vs. Wofford 10

CU Championship
 Tulsa 25 vs. UCF 44

AC Championship
 #5 Virginia Tech 30 vs. #10 Boston College 16

SB Championship
34- Florida Atlantic 38 vs. Troy 32

SE Championship
 #17 Tennessee 14 vs. #4 LSU 21

PX Championship Series
 #24 Oregon St. 38 vs. #20 Oregon 31
 #35 UCLA 7 vs. #2 Southern Cal 24
 Arizona 17 vs. #13 Arizona St. 20

BE Top 2 Decider
Upset of the Season
49- #80 Pittsburgh 13 vs. #3 West Virginia 9

BT Championship
 #6 Oklahoma 38 vs. #7 Missouri 17

WA Top 10 Decider
 Washington 28 vs. #15 Hawaii 35

In the also-rans, a couple of takers for Upset of the Year: Stanford's victory is a rare 44-point upset, and FLINT's victory is their first (and last) of the season. NCAAball's worst side will go into next year on a winning streak, which is more than can be said for half the top ten sides. NAVY completed a sweep of the services' bowl. UCF pull off the expected win in the CU championship, FLATL slightly surprising winners in the SB. No major surprise in the AC or SE, and the PX resolved in a commentator-friendly manner, SCALF taking the title from its head-to-head win over ARZST. The BE game was a surprise: WVIRG had the title wrapped up, and was looking at a top-2 finish with a win. Instead, a 49-point upset, the biggest of the season, knocks them well down. BT went to form, and HAWII clinched their 12th win to surely book a place in the Top 10.

Top 30

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R       RD   Idle
==================================================================
 2    1    1   OHIST   BX   1395   110.8   2   Ohio Province
 1    2    2   SCALF   PX   1368   105.0   0   Southern California
 4    4    3   LSU     SE   1351   105.9   0   Louisiana Purchase
11    5    4   VTECH   AC   1337    99.3   0   Virginia Tech
 9    6    5   OKLAH   BT   1325   100.0   0   Oklahoma
18    8    6   GRGIA   SE   1295    99.0   1   Georgia
 3    9    7   FLORD   SE   1291   102.2   1   Florida
10    3    8   WVIRG   BE   1291   108.6   0   W Virginia
38    7    9   MISRI   BT   1272    94.1   0   Missouri
12   11   10   MICH    BX   1258   103.2   2   Michigan
 5   12   11   TEXAS   BT   1252   104.7   1   Texas
36   14   12   ARZST   PX   1251    96.0   0   Arizona Province
 7   13   13   WISCO   BX   1249   105.6   2   Wisconsin
19   10   14   BOSCL   AC   1248   100.2   0   Boston College
39   15   15   HAWII   WA   1241   109.3   0   Hawaii
21   18   16   BYU     MW   1231   100.2   0   Brigham Young
53   16   17   KANSS   BT   1231    96.7   1   Kansas
12   --   --   MICH2   BX   1217    99.9   2   Michigan 2
13   19   18   BSEST   WA   1216   101.6   1   Boise State
30   17   19   TENSE   SE   1212    93.5   0   Tennessee
 8   21   20   AUBRN   SE   1198   104.6   1   Auburn
27   24   21   ORGST   PX   1196    96.1   0   Oregon Territory
34   22   22   CLEMS   AC   1190    97.8   1   Clemson
32   20   23   OREGN   PX   1183    97.2   0   Oregon
17   25   24   PENST   BX   1168   100.6   2   Penn Province
23   26   25   WAKEF   AC   1165    95.5   1   Wake Forest
24   27   26   TXSTC   BT   1155   100.3   2   Texas Tech
42   28   27   SFLOR   BE   1153   100.1   1   S Florida
44   29   28   CINCI   BE   1149   101.5   1   Cincinnati
56   30   29   VIRGI   AC   1146    95.4   1   Virginia
28   31   30   TEXAM   BT   1144    97.1   1   Texas A and M

The automatic qualifiers for the Top 10 are: OHIST (1), SCALF (2), LSU (3), VTECH (4), OKLAH (5), and WVIRG (8). We must also invite the undefeated HAWII (15).

The other three places are source for debate. Clearly, one of the sides from the SE deserves entry; there is a case for inviting GRGIA (6), good results against strong opposition, spoiled only by a loss to TENSE. There is a case for inviting TENSE (19), good results against mediocre opposition, marred only by a loss to LSU. There is a less compelling case to invite FLORD (7), moderate results against strong opposition. Another place should go to the BT; pick your faves from defeated finalists MISRI (9), +11-1 KANSS (17), and regular stagers TEXAS (11). The last place looks to be a shoot-out between the likes of early-season high-fliers ARZST (12), the team that's flown under everyone's radar WISCO (13), and defeated AC finalists BOSCL.

Our projections, then:

Top 2 OHIST -v- SCALF. Whaddya mean, we're just recycling bits of script from the end of November last year?

Other invitees LSU, VTECH, OKLAH, WVIRG to be joined by options: HAWII, GRGIA, KANSS, ARZST.

Teams above average

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R       RD   Idle
==================================================================
26   32   31   ARKNS   SE   1141   102.4   1   Arkansas
15   23   32   CALIF   PX   1140    99.9   0   California
105  34   33   ILLNS   BX   1123   104.2   2   Illinois
29   36   34   GEOTC   AC   1120    99.0   1   Georgia Tech
54   37   35   KNTCY   SE   1120   100.9   1   Kentucky
31   38   36   MARYL   AC   1118    98.6   1   Maryland
37   39   37   FLAST   AC   1117    95.7   1   Florida Territory
40   40   38   UTAH    MW   1115    96.2   1   Utah
25   35   39   UCLA    PX   1111    97.1   0   Calif, Senora Riena
16   41   40   TCU     MW   1103    99.1   1   Texas Christian
80   42   41   CONNC   BE   1096    98.8   1   Connecticut
 6   49   42   LSVLE   BE   1094   103.5   0   Louisville
20   33   43   RUTGR   BE   1094   100.0   0   Rutgers
41   44   44   NAVY    XX   1087   103.4   0   Navy
74   43   45   MICST   BX   1082    95.9   2   Michigan Province
45   46   46   PRDUE   BX   1067    95.0   2   Purdue
96   55   47   UCF     CU   1066    95.9   0   Central Florida
84   47   48   AIRFC   MW   1064    96.0   2   Air Force
35   48   49   SCARO   SE   1060    98.7   1   S Carolina
50   50   50   OKLST   BT   1059    98.8   1   Oklahoma Territory
22   51   51   NBRSK   BT   1058    94.7   1   Nebraska
98   52   52   MSPST   SE   1051   109.6   1   Mississippi State
59   45   53   TULSA   CU   1045    96.5   0   Tulsa
62   54   54   NEWMX   MW   1038    96.9   1   New Mexico
43   53   55   ARIZN   PX   1030   101.8   0   Arizona
70   57   56   COLRD   BT   1026    95.2   1   Colorado
55   58   57   HOUST   CU   1021    96.0   2   Houston
51   59   58   WASST   PX   1021    97.8   1   Washington Territory
66   60   59   ECARL   CU   1020   103.0   1   E Carolina
76   64   60   FRSST   WA   1020   101.9   0   Fresno State
57   67   61   CMICH   MA   1016    95.9   0   Central Michigan
52   61   62   ALABM   SE   1013    99.1   1   Alabama
14   62   63   NOTDM   XX   1013    95.3   1   Notre Dame
33   63   64   MIAFL   AC   1012    99.2   1   Miami-Florida
68   65   65   INDAN   BX   1009    96.3   2   Indiana
49   66   66   IOWA    BX   1007    96.0   2   Iowa

ILLNS this year's most-improved side, and a very dark horse for Top 10 selection. TCU and LSVLE really fell apart this year, but there were climbs for CONNC, MICST, UCF, AIRFC, and MSPST. All will find places in the post-season, unlike Notre Dame and Miami-Florida.

Teams below average

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
81   56   67   TROY    SB   997   103.3   0   Troy
60   68   68   NWSTN   BX   988    99.6   2   Northwestern
75   69   69   NCSTA   AC   975   101.5   1   NC State
46   70   70   KNSST   BT   966    96.7   1   Kansas Province
61   80   71   PITTS   BE   956   101.3   0   Pittsburgh
101  79   72   FLATL   SB   947   100.1   0   Florida Atlantic
47   75   73   NEVDA   WA   942    99.3   0   Nevada
58   71   74   SMISS   CU   938    97.3   1   S Mississippi
64   72   75   IWAST   BT   935   104.5   2   Iowa Province
83   81   76   STANF   PX   935    99.0   0   Stanford
89   73   77   VNDRB   SE   931   102.1   1   Vanderbilt
65   74   78   WASNG   PX   921    96.3   0   Washington
91   76   79   BALLS   MA   918    97.4   1   Ball State
67   77   80   WYOMG   MW   912    95.9   1   Wyoming
107  78   81   BOWLG   MA   911    97.6   1   Bowling Green
86   82   82   MDTEN   SB   880   100.9   1   Middle Tennessee
69   83   83   SNJST   WA   877    98.4   1   San Jose State
99   84   84   LOMON   SB   875   101.5   1   Louisiana Monroe
63   85   85   BAYLR   BT   871   101.0   2   Baylor
71   86   86   WMICH   MA   871    97.5   1   West Michigan
103  87   87   MEMPH   CU   870    96.9   1   Memphis
73   89   88   NCARO   AC   863   107.1   1   N Carolina
87   88   89   SDGST   MW   862   101.0   0   San Diego State
78   90   90   OHIO    MA   857    95.0   1   Ohio U
112  91   91   MIOHO   MA   829    92.4   0   Miami-Ohio
88   93   92   TOLED   MA   824    95.8   1   Toledo
94   94   93   ARKST   SB   821    95.0   1   Arkansas Province
92   95   94   MARSL   CU   821   102.2   1   Marshall
100  92   95   LSATC   WA   817   103.0   0   Louisiana Tech
48   96   96   MINNS   BX   815   104.0   2   Minnesota
72   97   97   RICE    CU   813    98.6   1   Rice
82   98   98   COLST   MW   812   102.2   1   Colorado Territory
85   99   99   UTEP    CU   801    97.1   1   Texas El Paso

We find it a little difficult to get excited about these sides, though note the climb of Miami-Ohio, 7th off the bottom last year, 28th off the foot this.

The three-figured places

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
93   100  100  MISIP   SE   793   106.2   1   Mississippi
97   101  101  AKRON   MA   781    94.7   1   Akron
118  102  102  BUFFL   MA   781    99.1   1   Buffalo
90   103  103  SYRAC   BE   774   102.9   1   Syracuse
95   104  104  LOLAF   SB   771    99.8   1   Louisiana Lafayette
102  105  105  TULNE   CU   756   100.7   1   Tulane
117  106  106  TEMPL   MA   742   103.4   1   Temple
115  108  107  EMICH   MA   738   101.2   2   East Michigan
108  107  108  ARMY    XX   732   108.9   0   Army
77   109  109  NILNS   MA   728   100.4   1   N Illinois
111  110  110  UNLV    MW   721   103.3   1   Nevada, The Meadows
79   112  111  SMU     CU   691    96.8   1   Southern Methodist
106  113  112  KENTS   MA   688    99.3   1   Kent State
113  111  113  NMXST   WA   684   107.3   0   New Mexico Territory
116  114  114  DUKE    AC   677   115.1   1   Duke
104  115  115  UAB     CU   667   101.1   1   Alabama, Birmingham
114  116  116  UTHST   WA   666   107.3   1   Utah Territory
110  117  117  NTEXS   SB   624   104.1   0   North Texas
109  118  118  IDAHO   WA   585   107.6   1   Idaho
119  119  119  FLINT   SB   581   110.3   0   Florida International

Some spectacular plunges, and remarkable climbs for Buffalo and Temple, and Idaho turns out to be the only side without so much as a single win to its name.

The regular season has ended, but this isn't the end of the coverage. We'll be back in a day or two with the complete bowl line-up, including UK television airings.

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