A Glicko Sports Blog

A Glicko Sports Blog

Sun 30 Sep 2007

There are bad teams. There are really bad teams.

The Sports Economist enquires into why Notre Dame is so jaw-droppingly, eye-wateringly, utterly rubbish all of a sudden. Part of the explanation, the blog suggests, is that it's the last remaining independent team, not affiliated to any of the major conferences. And part of the explanation is that the team really is jaw-droppingly, eye-wateringly, utterly rubbish, who couldn't beat their way out of a paper bag.

Going into this week's matches and mismatches, only one side in the BCS conferences and Notre Dame had yet to win, and all 65 sides in the BCS conferences had won at least once. Even 107th-ranked Duke - who play NOTDM in November - had something in the W column. Opponents Purdue had opened with three wins against senior opposition, and had eaten a cupcake. All of which brings us to:

Who Have Notre Dame Lost To This Week?

 #49 Notre Dame 19  vs. #23 Purdue 33

If there's one bright spot for the Not Very Good At This NCAA-ball Lark, PRDUE was a 22-point favourite for the game, meaning that the Not Dames at least beat the handicap, and recovered from 23-0 down at half-time. One dark spot? Dave Ross's training in the ground game isn't working well: the team managed a net 56 yards, with no individual play recording 10 yards.

In the grand scheme of things, which is more shredded: the evidence of cheating that the New England Terrorists turned into the NCAA-ball-Senior office the week before last and was promptly destroyed, or the ability of Notre Dame to beat any opponent ranked in the top 50 or so of the NCAA-ball world? There's only one way to sort this out, bring in the world record holders in Shredding Things: in the red corner, national security advisor to Ronald Reagan and man fired over the Iran-Contra affair, Oliver North! And in the sewer corner, mentor of the Teenage Mutant Hero Terrapins, the less ratty of the two contestants, Shredder!

The University of Arizona Province has a very wide catchment area, stretching all the way from Alburquerque to the Pacific coast. Naturally, it employs the best professionals at everything it can do. That explains the uni's recent implementation of a new payroll system. Needless to say, it wasn't tested, and the HR people couldn't cope with all the additional paycheques they had to write. The provincial credit union said that 55 people had to take out emergency loans, and others had to contact their banks. None of this off-pitch drama has affected the NCAA-ball side, rising from 36th last year to 15th last week, and beating Stanford 41:3 this week.

There's no point in running Who Have Appalachian State Beaten This Week, for the side conspired to lose last week. Instead, we have a new feature.

Who Have Appalachian State Wofford Beaten This Week?

 Wofford 45 vs. Furman 20

Last Week's Top Ten

 #1 Southern Cal 27 vs. Washington 24
 #2 LSU 34 vs. #110 Tulane 9
 #3 Ohio St. 30 vs. Minnesota 7
37 - #31 Auburn 20 vs. #4 Florida 17
40 -  Kansas St. 41 vs. #5 Texas 21
44 - #6 Oklahoma 24 vs. Colorado 27
34 - #7 West Virginia 13  vs. #26 South Florida 21
 #38 Michigan St. 34 vs. #8 Wisconsin 37
      #9 BOSCL played unranked Massachussets
 #10 California 31 vs. #12 Oregon 24

The top three bead their lowly opposition, but it's all change in the positions beneath. BCS defending champions FLORD lost to AUBRN for the second year running; we remarked last week how AUBRN had given up two easy wins; this victory almost cancels one out. TEXAS lost to KNSST for the second year running. See, this is what can happen for people who are simultaneously classic and trendy. OKLAH lost to mid-table COLRD, and we can just about forgive WVIRG for their loss to another top 30 side. CALIF will close up the gap, beating a side ranked just two places lower.

Other Top 40 Matches

 #19 Clemson 3 vs. #37 Georgia Tech 13
 #119 Temple 21 vs. #113 Army 37

Local rivalries

 Air Force 20 vs. Navy 31
 Utah St. 18 vs. Utah 34
 UNLV 20 vs. Nevada 27

The Upset-o-meter

44 - #6 Oklahoma 24 vs. Colorado 27
40 - #16 Penn St. 20 vs. Illinois 27
40 -  Kansas St. 41 vs. #5 Texas 21
37 - #31 Auburn 20 vs. #4 Florida 17
34 - #7 West Virginia 13  vs. #26 South Florida 21
32 -  Maryland 34 vs. #17 Rutgers 24
30 -  Washington St. 20 vs. Arizona 48
30 -  Syracuse 14 vs. Miami (Ohio) 17
30 -  Kent St. 33 vs. Ohio 25

Biggest win we've recorded this season remains Syracuse's upset of Louisville last week, worth 45 on the Upset-o-meter. SYRAC lost to MIOHO, LSVLE beat NCSTA.

The Top Thirty

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R       RD   Idle
==================================================================
 1    1    1   SCALF   PX   1390   134.9   0   Southern California
 4    2    2   LSU     SE   1366   129.1   0   Louisiana Territory
 2    3    3   OHIST   BX   1355   135.7   0   Ohio Province
 7    8    4   WISCO   BX   1316   127.9   0   Wisconsin
15   10    5   CALIF   PX   1306   121.3   0   California
19    9    6   BOSCL   AC   1277   126.1   1   Boston College
 3    4    7   FLORD   SE   1273   127.9   0   Florida
12   11    8   MICH    BX   1261   121.3   0   Michigan
 5    5    9   TEXAS   BT   1254   131.0   0   Texas
10    7   10   WVIRG   BE   1247   125.1   0   W Virginia
11   13   11   VTECH   AC   1236   127.1   0   Virginia Tech
 9    6   12   OKLAH   BT   1235   123.4   0   Oklahoma
22   14   13   NBRSK   BT   1214   115.8   0   Nebraska
36   15   14   ARZST   PX   1212   115.5   0   Arizona Province
42   26   15   SFLOR   BE   1203   126.7   0   S Florida
25   20   16   UCLA    PX   1201   114.6   0   Calif, Senora Riena
12   --   --   MICH2   BX   1200   118.1   0   Michigan 2
32   12   17   OREGN   PX   1200   116.4   0   Oregon
18   18   18   GRGIA   SE   1199   124.3   0   Georgia
13   21   19   BSEST   WA*  1192   129.8   0   Boise State
 8   31   20   AUBRN   SE   1184   124.6   0   Auburn
54   22   21   KNTCY   SE   1180   122.7   0   Kentucky
35   24   22   SCARO   SE   1173   120.8   0   S Carolina
33   23   23   MIAFL   AC   1164   120.7   0   Miami-Florida
44   25   24   CINCI   BE   1159   126.3   0   Cincinnati
45   29   25   PRDUE   BX   1159   116.6   0   Purdue
28   33   26   TEXAM   BT   1149   120.8   0   Texas A and M
21   34   27   BYU     MW*  1143   112.3   0   Brigham Young
38   27   28   MISRI   BT   1142   125.2   2   Missouri
24   28   29   TXSTC   BT   1142   123.8   1   Texas Tech
29   37   30   GEOTC   AC   1140   117.1   0   Georgia Tech

California closes the gap on Wisconsin by 14 points, and even after their embarrassing first-week loss, Michigan is clearly in the scrap for a top ten space. South Florida has only played three ranked opponents, but two of those were significant wins. Falling out of the top 30 are Rutgers (17-31), Penn Province (16-33), Clemson (19-34), and Wakefield (30-37).

The Bottom Ten

LY   LW   TW           Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
102  110  110   TULNE   CU   750   132.2   0   Tulane
104  109  111   UAB     CU   746   129.2   0   Alabama, Birmingham
115  111  112   EMICH   MA   721   123.6   0   East Michigan
109  114  113   IDAHO   WA   720   132.8   0   Idaho
103  112  114   MEMPH   CU   719   125.1   0   Memphis
110  116  115   NTEXS   SB   706   127.9   0   North Texas
118  115  116   BUFFL   MA   704   128.5   0   Buffalo
114  117  117   UTHST   WA   645   125.9   0   Utah Territory
119  118  118   FLINT   SB   621   132.2   0   Florida International
117  119  119   TEMPL   MA   585   128.2   0   Temple

Army's win over Temple lifts them out of the bottom ten. It also ensures that all of Notre Dame's opponents for the remainder of the season have more wins against ranked opposition (ie at least one).

Conference Watch: the See You Jimmy

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
59   44   44   TULSA   CU  1082   121.8   0   Tulsa
66   62   53   ECARL   CU  1029   123.5   0   E Carolina
55   54   65   HOUST   CU   987   117.4   0   Houston
96   73   70   UCF     CU   960   122.0   0   Central Florida
58   65   71   SMISS   CU   946   129.6   0   S Mississippi
85   86   78   UTEP    CU   918   119.8   0   Texas El Paso
72   88   86   RICE    CU   877   130.3   1   Rice
92  101   99   MARSL   CU   829   132.6   1   Marshall
79   92  100   SMU     CU   828   114.9   0   Southern Methodist
102 110  110   TULNE   CU   750   132.2   0   Tulane
104 109  111   UAB     CU   746   129.2   0   Alabama, Birmingham
103 112  114   MEMPH   CU   719   125.1   0   Memphis

It's a conference-by-division: UCF, Smiss, and ECarl are in the East, the rest of the top six in the west. After just three conference games, it's far too soon to say where this lot are headed.

The MAC

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
57   67   60   CMICH   MA   990   115.9   0   Central Michigan
91   81   77   BALLS   MA   918   117.7   0   Ball State
71   89   80   WMICH   MA   911   119.9   0   West Michigan
107  90   87   BOWLG   MA   871   128.8   1   Bowling Green
78   80   88   OHIO    MA   865   117.7   0   Ohio U
97   84   89   AKRON   MA   862   115.6   0   Akron
106  103  90   KENTS   MA   862   122.8   0   Kent State
88   91   96   TOLED   MA   836   114.8   0   Toledo
77   93   98   NILNS   MA   831   120.1   0   N Illinois
112  108 103   MIOHO   MA   811   116.0   0   Miami-Ohio
115  111 112   EMICH   MA   721   123.6   0   East Michigan
118  115 116   BUFFL   MA   704   128.5   0   Buffalo
117  119 119   TEMPL   MA   585   128.2   0   Temple

Another split conference: the top three are all in the West, the next four in the East. Temple, we may assume, won't be challenging for anything, though their +0-4 record is still better than +0-5 Notre Dame.

The WACADAY

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
13   21   19   BSEST   WA  1192   129.8   0   Boise State
39   36   36   HAWII   WA  1123   131.1   0   Hawaii
47   69   59   NEVDA   WA   991   123.5   0   Nevada
76   82   75   FRSST   WA   922   128.0   0   Fresno State
69   87   85   SNJST   WA   878   118.3   1   San Jose State
113 102  102   NMXST   WA   814   135.5   1   New Mexico Territory
100 104  106   LSATC   WA   759   130.7   0   Louisiana Tech
109 114  113   IDAHO   WA   720   132.8   0   Idaho
114 117  117   UTHST   WA   645   125.9   0   Utah Territory

Caution! May contain decent teams! Hawaii has yet to taste defeat this year, and will play Boise on 24 November. Nevada is the only other side of note, playing Boise on 15 October, and Hawaii on 17 November.

State of Independents

LY   LW   TW          Conf   R      RD   Idle
==================================================================
41   60   51   NAVY    XX   1031  117.7   0   Navy
14   49   57   NOTDM   XX   1018  112.8   0   Notre Dame
108  113 105   ARMY    XX   767   129.3   0   Army

For the first time in many, many years, the Navy is the leading independent NCAA-ball team, and not those people from Notre L Dame. The Independent Title Decider pits Navy against Penfold (think about it!) on 3 November.

Next week's live matches

It's been a particularly rubbish week for The Disney Corporation in the UK. Some time ago, Disney announced that it would close its little-watched ABC1 channel at 6am on 1 October. It actually fell off the air at lunchtime last Wednesday. On Friday, we were intrigued to see that all the week-end's programmes on NASN - a subsidiary of ESPN, in turn a subsidiary of Disney - had acquired the tag: Freeview. Excellent, we thought, a chance to see Hockey Night in London and a few NCAA-ball matches. Except that our cable box has resolutely declined to show these programmes, for they are not actually free-to-view. Oh, they might be for the two or three people watching on some obscure satellite service, but that's no help to us. Indeed, such a lack-of-attention to detail only serves to re-inforce our view that Disney is entirely staffed by incompetents, and has been since the days of Ted Harbert.

Anyway, next week's schedule is (as ever) subject to amendment. Hockey Night in Canada returns from midnight, and there's Major League Rounders at 9pm. All but one games are on tape, the only live match is Unknown, and they're wasting valuable time by showing a match where the result is known already. That's Disney for you, the very definition of a Mickey Mouse outfit.

Fr 1430 Kentucky -v- South Carolina
Sa 1700 Game tbc (live)
Su 0930 Oklahoma -v- Texas
Su 1230 Florida -v- LSU
Mo 1300 Georgia -v- Tennessee
We 0900 Notre Dame losing to UCLA
Th 1400 Navy -v- Pittsburgh

NCAA |

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