The Upset-o-meter first. We reckon that a 30-point surprise victory is going to be recognised by the club's supporters as a surprise, a 35-point upset will be heard around the nation, a 40-point shock will be news around the world, and a 50-point upset will be one of the greatest shocks in the history of both clubs.
43 Juventus - Udinese 0:1 42 Aberdeen - Motherwell 1:2 41 Derby - Newcastle 1:0 39 Hearts - Rangers 4:2 37 Lens - Nancy 1:0 37 Bor. Dortmund - Werder Bremen 3:0 36 Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV 2:1 34 Teplice - Sparta Prague 2:1 33 Sunderland - Reading 2:1 33 Norwich City - Crystal Palace 1:0 33 Barnsley - Scunthorpe United 2:0 32 SSC Napoli - Sampdoria 2:0 32 Auxerre - Nice 2:0 31 Man City - Aston Villa 1:0 31 Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 30 Marseille - Toulouse 1:2 19 Siena - AC Milan 1:1
For those interested: we would hesitate to directly mix upsets here with NCAA-ball, but it's clear that Juventus's defeat is big news. Rangers may have lost the lead in Scotland, but Aberdeen have lost face ahead of their UEFA Cup engagement. Werder will also be heading into European competition.
England II and III
WAT 876 96 WBA 846 94.3 CHA 843 99 STK 811 97.2 SFU 801 95.7 BRC 790 128 IPS 759 96.1 SOT 757 95.9 CCR 756 97.7 PLY 742 95.2 WLV 738 95.1 BNL 737 98.5 BPL 736 125.6 HUL 730 93.3 PNE 725 96.4 LEI 718 98 CPL 709 96.9 COV 702 95.6 CDF 690 92.9 SCU 686 135.6 BAN 677 97.3 NOR 672 94.8 SFW 651 94.8 QPR 639 100.5 CRW (III) 714 144.8 LEE (III) 702 105.0 SEN (III) 666 101.5 BRI (III) 624 126.3 LUT (III) 601 108.8 MIL (III) 522 136.1
No surprises to find the top two in Division II - Watford and Bristol C - also doing well here. Blackpool are 5th in the league but only mid-table here, showing how tight the division is at this time of year. Sheffield W and QPR are in trouble. In Division III, Leeds lost no points on our analysis, and are highest-placed of the sides that have played this year. Southend has already played three of its ten league matches for our purposes.
The FA Cup
Results from the round 12 matches played last week-end:
1 Bradford Park Avenue v Scarborough WO 3 Newcastle Benfield v Newcastle Blue Star 2:1 15 Fleetwood Town v Manchester United 2:1 29 Rocester v Chasetown 0:1 38 Hednesford Town v Stratford Town 0:0 83 Dartford v Sittingbourne 1:1 87 Cray Wanderers v Wimbledon 2:6 88 Maidstone United v Erith & Belvedere 3:0
So Manchester United, winners as recently as 2004, fall out, but 1988 champs Wimbledon progress.
Ties for the round 11 matches, where sides from Divisions VI N and S enter, include:
9 Bradford Park Avenue v Whitby Town 19 Cambridge City v Chasetown 23 Matlock Town v Telford United 27 Boston United v Buxton 30 Hednesford Town / Stratford Town v Alfreton Town 37 Hayes & Yeading United v Herne Bay 43 Dartford / Sittingbourne v Camberley Town 47 Billericay Town v Maidstone United 58 Debenham LC v Wimbledon 69 Oxford City v Weston Super Mare 75 Truro City v Bath City
