Kent win won't win - The Snow In The Summer or So-So

25 November 2018
Title week is set

Let's start with the Top 15 games.

01 Clemson beat South Carolina 56-35 02 Alabama beat Auburn 52-21 03 Georgia beat Georgia Coll of Tech 45-21 04 Notre Dame beat USC 24-17 05 Michigan lost to 09 Ohio Province 62-39 06 Oklahoma beat West Virginia 59-56 07 UCF beat South Florida 38-10 08 LSU lost to Texas Ag and Mech 41-43 (after 7 extra timeses, following a 31-31 draw) 10 Washington Province lost to Washington 15-28 11 Florida beat Florida Province 41-14 12 Fresno State beat San Jose State 31-13 13 Kentucky beat Louisville 56-10 14 Utah Province lost to Boise State 24-33 15 Army -- bye

Top four get the job done. Michigan lost out on the Big Ten title game to Ohio P, and lost in big style. Oklahoma rode a drunken game, Defending National Champions UCF handled their business.

A l-o-n-g game between LSU and Texas Ag & Mech finally ended. A snow game in Washington saw victory for the home side, and a place in the Pac Ten title match. Fresno and Boise will meet in the Mountain West title match, winner is first in line if UCF stumbles.

Here, have some more upsets.

.9011 Western Kentucky - Louisiana Tech 30-15
.8231 UNLV - Nevada 34-29
.8209 Tulsa - SMU 27-24
.7952 Rice - Old Dominion 27-13
.7372 South Alabama - Coastal Carolina 31-28
.6964 Miami-of-Florida - Pittsburgh 24-3
.6899 Virginia Coll of Tech - Virginia 34-31 AET
.6802 Minnesota - Wisconsin 37-15
.6661 Middle Tennessee - UAB 27-3
.6572 Western Michigan - Northern Illinois 28-21
.6571 Washington - Washington Prov 28-15

We'll take the Top 15 next...

01 Clemson [nc]
02 Alabama [nc]
03 Georgia [nc]
04 Notre Dame [nc]
05 Ohio Province [+4]
06 Oklahoma [nc]
07 UCF [nc]
08 Michigan [-3]
09 Washington [+14]
10 Boise State [+6]
11 LSU [-3]
13 Utah [+4]
14 Washington Province [-4]
15 Texas [+5]

As we might expect, Ohio Province get a rich reward - we had their game against Michigan as a tossup. Washington soar from their upset win, and a lot of sides benefit from playing in the title games - Kentucky and Army are dislodged from the top 15, at least for this week.

Should Alabama win, it's almost certain that they'll be top seed - we're only counting Alabama as 0.6 of a win, Clemson get 0.87 of a win over Pittsburgh. When those are finalised, Alabama will move comfortably ahead.

There's very little to choose between Ohio Province and Oklahoma, it may come down to style points. If UCF win the AA, they will be ahead of the PX winners, but not the favourite in any other division; we cannot jam them into a four-team playoff without major carnage.

Next week's programme is a bunch of makeup games, which we can ignore, and some title matches.

MA: #27 Buffalo vs #62 Northern Illinois
PX: #9 Washington vs #13 Utah
BT: #6 Oklahoma vs #15 Texas
SB: #24 Appalachian State vs #64 Louisiana-Lafayette
CU: #36 UAB vs #40 Middle Tennessee
AA: #7 UCF vs #60 Memphis
SE: #2 Alabama vs #3 Georgia
MW: #10 Boise State vs #17 Fresno State
AC: #1 Clemson vs #28 Pittsburgh
BX: #5 Ohio Province vs #26 Northwestern

Ohio the second best side in the MAC, but in the same division as Buffalo... West Virginia's tailspin leaves them ranked 29 this week... We have Louisiana-Lafayette down fifth in the Sun Belt, behind co-divisionals Arkansas Province, and behind Georgia Southern and Troy from the East... Memphis trail Cincinnati and Temple, but are best in the AA West... Syracuse the only other side above Pittsburgh in the AC... Michigan and Penn State take podium positions in the BX.

And our best guess at the eight-team playoff would be: Alabama - Washington; Clemson - UCF; Notre Dame - Georgia; Oklahoma - Ohio Province.

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