Livejournal, April 2007 - The Snow In The Summer or So-So

30April

The decline of Livejournal this month

The headlines

size	accounts	12831257	214195	1.70%
size	accounts_active_1	462231	-50432	-9.84%
size	accounts_active_30	1815554	1701	0.09%
size	accounts_active_7	1146842	808	0.07%
userinfo	total	12816920	215622	1.71%
userinfo	updated	8135102	95165	1.18%
userinfo	updated_last1	173549	-30834	-15.09%
userinfo	updated_last30	1054108	308	0.03%
userinfo	updated_last7	622264	5305	0.86%

Though slightly slower than recently, it's hard to argue that the trend of 1.8% growth per month isn't continuing. The active:30 figure is virtually unchanged, following a 2.4% drop the previous month.

For those reading this without seeing a previous entry, we treat userinfo:updated as a proxy for all human users.

Sex

gender	F	3528430	67569	1.95%
gender	M	1722030	36117	2.14%
gender	U	2088310	19527	0.94%

Total gender declared: 7338770 (+123213, 1.71%) (57% of Accounts, 90% of Updated.) Males are still signing up faster than females, the F/M ratio stands at 2.049 (-0.004).

Age

Here's a list of the ages with at least 100,000 people:

age	15	193493	-44	-0.02%
age	16	359478	-2914	-0.80%
age	17	510139	6403	1.27%
age	18	586428	12083	2.10%
age	19	601389	15988	2.73%
age	20	563955	16476	3.01%
age	21	510595	16277	3.29%
age	22	427842	17222	4.19%
age	23	341391	13001	3.96%
age	24	282603	11138	4.10%
age	25	228248	9991	4.58%
age	26	203308	5348	2.70%
age	27	174192	12207	7.54%
age	28	121810	5669	4.88%
age	29	101928	(new)

Modal age remains 19. Quartiles come at 18.6 (+0.1), 21.3 (+0.1), 25.5 (+0.2), showing further evidence that Livejournal is gaining older users faster than younger ones. Total declaring an age: 6133993 (+193089, 3.25%) (83% of Sex, 75% of Updated, both up 1%.)

Top 20 Countries

US	3357679	16734	0.50%
RU	464520	9648	2.12%
CA	285463	1755	0.62%
UK	246653	2214	0.91%
AU	117036	1101	0.95%
UA	54878	1370	2.56%
PH	45725	508	1.12%
SG	43608	1029	2.42%
DE	42817	582	1.38%
FI	34165	447	1.33%
JP	28311	331	1.18%
NL	23598	221	0.95%
BY	18115	442	2.50%
IL	17827	246	1.40%
NZ	17018	192	1.14%
BR	16159	191	1.20%
ES	16120	190	1.19%
FR	15486	221	1.45%
SE	11445	142	1.26%
IE	10821	94	0.88%

224 other countries: 261134

Total countries declared: 5128578 (+50643, 1.00%) (84% of those declaring an Age (-1%), 70% of Sex, 63% of Active).

As expected, no changes in the order of the top 20. Compared with recent months, growth has been far more evenly distributed - Ukraine, Belarus, Singapore and Russia continue to slow their growth, a trend we noted last month. These countries have typically had 3-4% growth per month, but it's barely 2-2.5% this time. Apart from these five gainers, all the rest of the top 20 grows more slowly than Livejournal as a whole, with the Anglophone countries and the Netherlands particularly sluggish. The gaps beneath the 20: India is 159 behind (+24), Italy 463 adrift (-78).

Signups

For our purposes, the April signup month runs from 30 March to 28 April.

The trend this month is actually to have more signups this year than last, with 18 of the 30 days this year exceeded the corresponding day last.

Livejournal signups, April 2002-7
Total signups:
2002 - 32226
2003 - 56669
2004 - 319542
2005 - 330574
2006 - 214882
2007 - 222748

Syndicated feeds

Top 10
Blogthings	32901	-193
Postsecret	26395	628
Word of the Day	16878	61
Officialgaiman	15950	131
Astronomy Picture	11308	92
XKCD	9443	1143
Penny Arcade	9319	100
Sinfest	8917	96
VG Cats	8294	16
Overheardnyc	8267	89

XKCD climbs two places to sixth.

Readership of feed ranked:
50	1463 (+55)
100	694 (+16)
200	318 (+1)
500	134 (+4)
1000	60 (+1)

The Zipf distribution allows us to approximate n = (1/k^s)*a
where n = number of readers
k = rank
s = exponent (experimentally, 1.15)
a = scalar multiple (experimentally, 135,200)

This gives an almost identical shape to last month's distribution, where s=1.15 and a=133,700.

We might extend the table:

2500	17 (+1)
5000	8 (+1)
10000	3 (nc)
25000	1 (nc)
50000	1 (+1)

We're reasonably confident that around 50,000 feeds have at least one reader.

These are the statistics. Conclusions, as ever, are yours.

Commentary this month

Abraham Hassan, who still hasn't been shown the door for his atrocious customer service (see last month), claimed, Pointing out cool or interesting communities on LiveJournal is "advertising" now? I know and understand a whole number of complaints regarding advertising on LiveJournal, but this is the first time I've ever heard anyone complain that the spotlight is advertising. Sure, it's a promotion and I guess if you squint it's advertising, but I've never once heard a single paid user complain that they're "forced" to see the spotlight on the home page. (And I read every single complaint we get.) Lies from start to finish. Six Apart takes money for pimping communities on the front page. This is advertising, just as book companies paying for the front tables in bookshops is advertising. We really cannot be bothered giving the rest of Mr. Hassan's statement the fisking it so richly deserves, for some of us have lives. Others work for get paid by Six Apart.

Mr. Hassan's April Fish, incidentally, continued Livejournal's track record of being Completely Unfunny. As and when he does get fired, he can always write scripts for ITV Comedy. What, they won't hire him? He's too rubbish? Blimey!

Three years after they were available to the one-third of users in the FARCE, and three months after they were put behind an +1-800 number that rejects international calls (and those from Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico), Livejournal introduced phone numbers for some of its international customers. They appeared in Canada (3rd most popular country by users), the UK (4th), Australia (5th), and Japan (11th). There's absolutely no love for Russia (2nd) or Ukraine (6th), nor for the SMS-obsessed Philippines and Singapore (7th and 8th).

An SMS-to-LJ gateway in south Asia (possibly also Germany and Finland) would be a very quick win. Indeed, there is no technical reason whatsoever for restricting the official SMS-to-LJ gateway to the FARCE. The only reason for this geographical limitation seems to be that it's a money earner for Six Apart, and heaven forfend that they might do something that would cost money, even in the short-term.

The unofficial SMS-to-LJ service continues to work, as does the post-by-phone number (+44 (0)20 7100 1117).

Of course, it's two steps forward and one step back - the cultural imperialism of the damned Yankees continued by failing to localise the introductory spiel. Users were confused when the # button was referred to as the £ key, when everyone knows that a pound looks like this: £ (£), and even more confused when the dialling code for London was unilaterally changed from 020 to 0203.

The official spokesblog was compromised on 20 April, when an entry entitled, line is foar more photobucket? We has a Photobucket appeared. The remaining content was not written in anything that might pass for standard English, and we suspect hackers at play.

| Permanent link

Six Apart is Rubbish