The Snow In The Summer or So-So

26February

Tuning in, tuning out

Time for the quarterly RAJAR figures, this time covering the twelve weeks to 17 December 2006. Of particular reference are the figures for the third quarter of 2006 and the equivalent last year.

In each case, the figures are a weighted average of the most recent quarter's figure, and the middle three of the previous five quarters. This gives a trend figure based on a central one-year sample drawn from the past eighteen months, much more stable than the individual quarters.

Share (in the regional tables) is the percentage of listeners who heard the station.

Hours is the average listening figure per person in the area, whether they listened or not.

Changes are on the last quarter's figures.

National stations

Assumed national audience: 49,590,000.

UK national stations, 4th quarter 2006
BBC national stations
StationAudienceHours
Radio 110327 (-34)2h03 (+1)
Radio 213081 (+30)3h22 (-1)
Radio 32024 (+39)0h16
Radio 49354 (-63)2h28 (-1)
Radio 55919 (+31)0h57
6Music363 (+14)0h02
BBC7648 (+11)0h04
World Service1308 (+2)0h09
Asian Network461 (+13)0h04
Analogue national stations
StationAudienceHours
Choice624 (+30)0h06 (+1)
Classic FM5832 (-39)0h54
Galaxy2567 (+26)0h23 (+1)
Kiss2489 (+10)0h16
LBC729 (+3)0h11 (+1)
Magic3040 (+31)0h27
Smooth1405 (+30)0h12
Sunrise472 (+9)0h04
Talk Sport2182 (-4)0h23
Virgin 12151774 (+20)0h12 (-1)
Xfm1008 (**)0h08 (**)
Analogue national stations
StationAudienceHours
3C**
Arrow77 (+3)0h01
Capital Disney55 (-4)0h00
Chill**
Core112 (-2)0h00
Heat254 (+4)0h01
Hits1040 (+40)0h04
Life79 (-2)0h01
Oneword129 (+6)0h01
Planet Rock401 (+10)0h03
Q340 (-18)0h01
Smash Hits749 (-22)0h03

* 3C and Chill have only four and three quarters of data. 3C reports 90,000 listeners, Chill 124,000; both have 1 minute.

** Xfm figures are not comparable with the previous quarter, following the inclusion of Xfm Scotland from 06/Q1. Proper comparisons will be unavailable until 07/Q2 to Q3, published in October 2007.

A very quiet quarter for the BBC nationals, and for the terrestrials; the only significant movements are 6Music increasing hours by a quarter, World Service losing hours equally quickly. Neither loses much audience. In the commercial sector, a collapse of a half for Q's hours, and a third for Smash Hits. LBC's national rollout has boosted audiences and hours by 10% for a second straight quarter.

A year ago, Classic was ahead of Radio 5 on audience, BBC7 has added 25% of audience, but Asian Network is unchanged. Planet Rock and 6Music are the only other digital stations to show a substantive gain.

West Midlands local stations, 3rd quarter 2006
BBC local stations
StationCoverageShareHours
Asian Network (WM)49743.9% (+0.1)0h19
CWR62713.6% (+0.2)1h20 (-1)
Gloucestershire47218.9% (+0.7)2h22
Hereford and Worcester50625.5% (-0.2)2h55 (+5)
Leicester75720.9% (-0.6)2h11 (-7)
Oxford50716.7% (-1.2)1h43 (-3)
Shropshire37229.5% (+0.2)3h37 (+6)
WM218014.8%1h44 (+3)
Regional stations
StationCoverageShareHours
Heart (WM)347323.5% (-0.5)2h14 (+3)
Saga (WM)347311.6% (+0.1)1h26 (+1)
Kerrang347610.7% (+0.3)0h46 (+5)
Heart (EM)202716.2% (-0.2)1h23 (-5)
Saga (EM)202111.5% (-0.5)1h13 (-4)
Heritage local stations
StationCoverageShareHours
BRMB202524.3% (-0.5)1h50 (-5)
Beacon128620.1% (+0.1)1h41 (-1)
Mercia66124.2% (-2.5)1h51 (-10)
Wyvern47820.2% (-1.8)1h34 (-10)
FOX57430.6% (-0.6)2h57 (-11)
Galaxy (WM)202216.4% (-0.4)1h17 (-6)
Small-scale local stations
StationCoverageShareHours
Wolf42413.1% (-0.4)0h58
Bear / Kix57916.9% (-1.8)1h26
Fosseway14617.9% (-0.3)1h23 (+2)
Centre23515.8% (-1.6)1h16 (-5)
Rugby6939.4% (-0.1)3h46 (-4)
Heritage AM local stations
StationCoverageShareHours
Xtra-AM20253.1% (-0.2)0h18 (+1)
Mercia AM6614.8% (-0.5)0h29 (-1)
WABC12862.6% (-0.1)0h16 (+1(

Again, not a tremendous amount to note in the BBC section, Leicester's decline is due to a very good first quarter of 2006, Oxford's to a very good third quarter dropping out. Changes over the year: Gloucestershire is up, Leicester has lost 20 minutes per listener.

Heart WM has lost almost 100,000 listeners in the last year, though that's not altered the hours very much; the EM has held audience since rebranding from Century in summer 2005, but has lost 20% of its hours. Kerrang holds on to the 3rd quarter gains.

The listed heritage stations are now entirely owned by the GWR-Capital merged company, and we fail to see how this is good for listener choice. The trend is down; Mercia and Wyvern are feeling it particularly from good 05/Q2 figures now dropping out - Mercia is down 6% and 23 minutes over the year, Wyvern 5% and 40 minutes. The re-naming of Kix, The Bear, and Centre to Touch in 2006 has been an unmitigated disaster; the combined Kix / Bear station (which may also include the group's new station in Banbury) has lost a third of listeners and hours; the Lichfield station has squandered 5% of share and an eyebrow-raising 44 minutes of its two hours.

Since these figures were published, GMG has bought out the Saga stations, and will re-name them Smooth for the start of 07/Q2; we will retrospectively aggregate Saga WM, EM, and Central Scotland with Smooth's existing stations in London and the NW, with effect from the Q2 publication in August.

The next RAJAR day is 3 May; expect analysis later that month.

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